Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.149091 0.172439 0.198213 0.228775 0.264026 0.303415 0.350779
2025-11-09 0.107287 0.137218 0.173656 0.221274 0.281881 0.356483 0.455374
2025-11-16 0.089322 0.122508 0.165748 0.226201 0.308579 0.417008 0.570785
2025-11-23 0.075990 0.110348 0.157668 0.227576 0.328297 0.468318 0.678149
2025-11-30 0.066760 0.101862 0.152583 0.231184 0.350021 0.523227 0.795457
2025-12-07 0.057464 0.091657 0.143238 0.226668 0.358378 0.558645 0.887138
2025-12-14 0.050391 0.083702 0.135969 0.223881 0.368251 0.596417 0.985542
2025-12-21 0.045687 0.078792 0.132660 0.226604 0.386616 0.648698 1.112059
2025-12-28 0.043107 0.076995 0.134044 0.236957 0.418317 0.725432 1.286973
2026-01-04 0.040161 0.074151 0.133234 0.243274 0.443529 0.793470 1.453936
2026-01-11 0.037423 0.071303 0.132017 0.248573 0.467256 0.860968 1.626740
2026-01-18 0.034545 0.067826 0.129226 0.250560 0.484934 0.919073 1.788072
2026-01-25 0.031260 0.063250 0.124011 0.247609 0.493412 0.961862 1.926852
2026-02-01 0.027742 0.057806 0.116552 0.239479 0.490997 0.983831 2.027895
2026-02-08 0.026120 0.055978 0.115926 0.244809 0.515778 1.061001 2.247397
2026-02-15 0.024272 0.053448 0.113586 0.246297 0.532737 1.124044 2.444415
2026-02-22 0.022838 0.051624 0.112479 0.250200 0.555068 1.200143 2.676913
2026-03-01 0.020782 0.048190 0.107578 0.245314 0.557823 1.235140 2.823787
2026-03-08 0.019092 0.045383 0.103725 0.242299 0.564309 1.278669 2.994069
2026-03-15 0.018015 0.043862 0.102564 0.245246 0.584568 1.354513 3.245989
2026-03-22 0.017599 0.043858 0.104850 0.256446 0.625145 1.480224 3.627694
2026-03-29 0.016906 0.043100 0.105289 0.263280 0.656048 1.586607 3.974576
2026-04-05 0.016187 0.042195 0.105282 0.269014 0.684863 1.690868 4.327382